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Estimates of historical world population facts for kids

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This article looks at how many people have lived on Earth throughout history. It also shows how the world's population has grown over time.

Estimating the world's population from long ago is very difficult. We don't have perfect records from ancient times. For example, in the year 2012, different groups estimated the world population to be around 7.02 to 7.08 billion people. This shows that even modern estimates can be slightly different.

Early Human History

Population curve
This graph shows how the world population has changed over the last 12,000 years.

The further back in time we go, the harder it is to guess how many people were alive. We only have good population numbers for the last 200-300 years. Before the late 1700s, most governments didn't count everyone accurately. Ancient counts, like in Egypt or Persia, often only counted people for taxes or military service.

For example, estimates for the year 1 AD (the start of the Common Era) vary a lot. They range from about 150 million to 330 million people. That's a big difference!

Even further back, around 10,000 BC (the early Holocene period), estimates suggest there were only about 1 to 10 million people on Earth. This was when humans were just starting to settle down and farm.

Going back even more, into the Stone Age (Paleolithic period), humans lived as hunter-gatherers. They moved around a lot to find food. At this time, modern humans lived alongside other types of humans. Scientists believe that about 70,000 years ago, after a huge volcanic eruption (the Toba catastrophe), the number of Homo sapiens (modern humans) might have dropped to as low as 1,000 to 10,000 people.

Scientists also wonder: "How many people have ever lived on Earth?" This question became popular in the 1970s when the world population was growing very fast. Some people even thought that more people were alive then than had ever died. But this was never true.

Today, experts estimate that around 100 billion people have been born since humans first appeared. This number depends on whether we count only modern humans or all early human types. It also depends on how we count babies who didn't survive long, as infant deaths were very common long ago.

World Population Growth

The world population has grown much faster since the early modern period (around the 1500s) until the 1900s. Before that, from about 500 BC to 1500 AD, the population generally grew. However, there was a big drop in the mid-1300s because of the Black Death, a terrible plague.

Here's a quick look at how the world population has changed over time:

Year 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100
population
(in billions)
0.35–0.40 0.43–0.50 0.50–0.58 0.60–0.68 0.89–0.98 1.56–1.71 6.06–6.15 c. 10–13

After World War II (around 1950), we started getting much better population data. Even so, different groups might have slightly different numbers. For example, estimates from the United States Census Bureau and the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs can differ by about 0.5% to 1.5%. This means that even though numbers might be shown with many digits, they are usually only accurate to about three digits.

The world population reached 1 billion people around 1804. It then grew to 2 billion by 1927, 3 billion by 1960, 4 billion by 1974, 5 billion by 1987, and 6 billion by 1999. By 2012, it reached 7 billion.

Population by World Region

Pop continents 2000 2050
This chart shows how the world population was divided among continents in 2000 and how it's expected to be in 2050.      Asia      Africa      Europe      Central/South America      North America      Oceania

The population has not grown the same way in all parts of the world. Some regions have seen much faster growth than others. For example, Asia has always had the largest share of the world's population. However, Africa's population is growing very quickly and is expected to make up a much larger share of the world's people in the future.

Here's a look at how the population has been distributed across different regions over time (numbers are in millions):

Year 1 1000 1500 1600 1700 1820 1913 2000 2030
Asia 168 183 284 379 402 710 978 3,605 4,790
Europe 34 40 78 112 127 224 498 742 829
Africa 17 32 47 55 61 74 125 798 1,449
Central/South America 6 11 18 9 12 22 81 520 702
North America 1 1 2 2 1 11 105 314 413
Oceania 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 5 23 28
World Total 226 267 438 556 603 1,041 1,791 6,062 8,175
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