kids encyclopedia robot

Tropical cyclone forecast model facts for kids

Kids Encyclopedia Facts
NHC Atlantic Forecast Error Trends
Average trends in forecast errors by the National Hurricane Center.

A tropical cyclone forecast model is a computer program that uses meteorological data to forecast where tropical cyclones will go and how strong they will be. Models use powerful supercomputers and mathematical modeling software. There are two general types: statistical and dynamic. There are two main types of forecasts: track and intensity.

Images for kids

  • Ernesto2006modelspread

    Significant track errors still occur on occasion, as seen in this Ernesto (2006) early forecast. The NHC official forecast is light blue, while the storm's actual track is the white line over Florida.

  • Isabel2003rcliper

    r-CLIPER for Hurricane Isabel (2003)

  • Sloshrun

    Example of a SLOSH run

  • Irene13

    A NOAA prediction for Hurricane Irene

  • WRF rita spread2

    Top: WRF model simulation of Hurricane Rita tracks. Bottom: The spread of NHC multi-model ensemble forecast.

kids search engine
All content from Kiddle encyclopedia articles (including the article images and facts) can be freely used under Attribution-ShareAlike license, unless stated otherwise. Cite this article:
Tropical cyclone forecast model Facts for Kids. Kiddle Encyclopedia.