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Accumulated cyclone energy facts for kids

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Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) is a way to measure how much energy a tropical cyclone releases during its entire life. Think of it like a score for how powerful and long-lasting a storm is!

Scientists figure out ACE by adding up the square of a storm's strongest winds every six hours. The total number is then usually divided by 10,000 to make it easier to read. This helps scientists compare different storms or even entire storm seasons.

The idea for this calculation came from William M. Gray and his team at Colorado State University. They first called it the Hurricane Destruction Potential index. Later, in 2000, the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) changed it to include all tropical cyclones with winds above 35 kn (65 km/h; 40 mph) and renamed it Accumulated Cyclone Energy. Other weather groups, like the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and the India Meteorological Department, now use it too.

The highest ACE ever recorded for a single tropical cyclone was 87.01. This record was set by Cyclone Freddy in 2023!

How ACE Started

The idea for Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) was first developed by William M. Gray and his team at Colorado State University. They called it the Hurricane Destruction Potential (HDP) index. They believed that the damage from a hurricane's winds and storm surge was better linked to the square of its strongest wind speed, not just the wind speed itself.

They calculated this by squaring the strongest wind speed of hurricanes (winds above 65 kn (120 km/h; 75 mph)) every six hours throughout the season. Later, the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) updated this scale. They decided to include all tropical cyclones, even weaker ones, with winds above 35 kn (65 km/h; 40 mph). NOAA also gave it the new name: accumulated cyclone energy index.

Since then, different weather agencies and researchers use ACE in many ways. For example, they use it to see how busy a tropical cyclone season was. They also use it to spot long-term changes in storm activity in certain areas, like the Lesser Antilles.

How ACE is Calculated

To calculate the Accumulated Cyclone Energy for a season, scientists add up the squares of the strongest wind speeds for every tropical cyclone. They do this for storms that have winds of 35 kn (65 km/h; 40 mph) or higher, checking every six hours.

The total number is usually divided by 10,000. This makes the numbers smaller and easier to work with. One unit of ACE is equal to 10−4 kn2.

Here's the simple formula:

Failed to parse (Missing <code>texvc</code> executable. Please see math/README to configure.): \text{ACE} = \frac{1}{10000} \sum v_\max^2

In this formula, vmax is the estimated strongest wind speed of the storm, measured in knots.

Think of it this way: the energy a storm has is related to the square of its speed. By adding up these squared speeds over time, we get the "accumulated" (total collected) energy. This means that storms that last longer can have a higher ACE score, even if they aren't the most powerful at any single moment. ACE isn't a direct measure of the storm's actual energy (because that would also depend on the storm's size), but it's a good way to compare their overall activity.

Atlantic Ocean Storms

Accumulated Cyclone Energy of North Atlantic hurricanes, OWID
Accumulated cyclone energy of North Atlantic hurricanes.

In the Atlantic Ocean, the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) uses the ACE index to put hurricane seasons into different groups. These groups are: extremely active, above-normal, near-normal, and below-normal. They figure this out by looking at ACE values from 1951 to 2020. The middle value (median) for ACE in this period was 96.7 x 104 kt2.

Classification criteria
Category ACE Index  % of 1951–2020
median
Extremely active > 159.6 > 165%
Above-normal > 126.1 > 130%
Near-normal 73–126.1 75–130%
Below-normal < 73 < 75%
Reference:
Top 10 Atlantic hurricane seasons
Season TS HU MH ACE
1933 20 11 6 258.57
2005 28 15 7 250.13
1893 12 10 5 231.15
1926 11 8 6 229.56
1995 19 11 5 227.10
2004 15 9 6 226.88
2017 17 10 6 224.88
1950 16 11 6 211.28
1961 12 8 5 205.39
1998 14 10 3 181.76

Individual Storms in the Atlantic

The highest ACE ever recorded for a single storm in the Atlantic was 73.6. This was for the San Ciriaco hurricane in 1899. This storm was a Category 4 hurricane and lasted for four weeks! Its ACE was even higher than many entire Atlantic hurricane seasons.

Other Atlantic storms with very high ACE scores include:

Since 1950, the tropical storm with the highest ACE was Tropical Storm Laura in 1971, with an ACE of 8.6. The Category 1 hurricane with the highest ACE was Hurricane Nadine in 2012, reaching 26.3 ACE.

Some storms have very low ACE scores. For example, tropical storms Chris (2000) and Philippe (2017) were tropical storms for only six hours and had an ACE of just 0.1. The lowest ACE for any hurricane was Hurricane Cindy (2005) with 1.5175 ACE, and Hurricane Lorenzo (2007) with 1.475 ACE.

The following table shows the Atlantic storms from 1851–2021 that had over 50 points of ACE.

Storm Year Peak classification ACE Duration
Hurricane Three 1899
Category 4 hurricane
73.6 28 days
Hurricane Ivan 2004
Category 5 hurricane
70.4 23 days
Hurricane Irma 2017
Category 5 hurricane
64.9 13 days
Hurricane Nine 1893
Category 3 hurricane
63.5 20 days
Hurricane Isabel 2003
Category 5 hurricane
63.3 14 days
Hurricane Fourteen 1932
Category 5 hurricane
59.8 15 days
Hurricane Donna 1960
Category 4 hurricane
57.6 16 days
Hurricane Carrie 1957
Category 4 hurricane
55.8 21 days
Hurricane Inez 1966
Category 5 hurricane
54.6 21 days
Hurricane Sam 2021
Category 4 hurricane
53.8 14 days
Hurricane Luis 1995
Category 4 hurricane
53.5 16 days
Hurricane Allen 1980
Category 5 hurricane
52.3 12 days
Hurricane Esther 1961
Category 5 hurricane
52.2 18 days
Hurricane Matthew 2016
Category 5 hurricane
50.9 12 days

Atlantic Hurricane History and ACE

50
100
150
200
250
300
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020

It's harder to count tropical storms and hurricanes accurately before the mid-1960s. This is because satellites weren't used to track storms back then.

Classification criteria      Extremely active      Above-normal      Near-normal      Below-normal

Eastern Pacific Storms

In the Eastern Pacific Ocean, the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) also uses the ACE index. They classify seasons into three groups: above-normal, near-normal, and below-normal. These groups are based on the ACE index and the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes from 1991 to 2020.

For a season to be called "above-normal," it needs to meet the ACE index rule and at least two more rules from the table below.

The average ACE value for the Eastern Pacific from 1991 to 2020 is 108.7 x 104 kt2. The middle value (median) is 97.2 x 104 kt2.

Classification criteria
Category ACE Index  % of 1991–2020
median
Tropical
storms
Hurricanes Major
hurricanes
Above-normal > 115 > 120% 17 or more 9 or more 5 or more
Near-normal 80–115 80–120% 16 or fewer 8 or fewer 4 or fewer
Below-normal < 80 < 80% N/A
Reference:
Top 10 Pacific hurricane seasons
Season TS HU MH ACE
2018 23 13 10 318
1992 27 16 10 295
2015 26 16 11 287
1990 21 16 6 245
1978 19 14 7 207
1983 21 12 8 206
1993 15 11 9 201
2014 22 16 9 199
1984 21 13 7 193
1985 24 13 8 192

Individual Storms in the Pacific

The highest ACE ever recorded for a single storm in the Eastern or Central Pacific (east of the International Date Line) is 62.8. This was for Hurricane Fico in 1978.

Other Eastern Pacific storms with high ACE scores include:

  • Hurricane John (1994) with 54.0 ACE
  • Hurricane Kevin (1991) with 52.1 ACE
  • Hurricane Hector (2018) with 50.5 ACE

The table below shows storms in the Eastern and Central Pacific from 1971–2018 that had over 30 points of ACE.

Storm Year Peak classification ACE Duration
Hurricane Fico 1978
Category 4 hurricane
62.8 20 days
Hurricane John dagger 1994
Category 5 hurricane
54.0 19 days
Hurricane Kevin 1991
Category 4 hurricane
52.1 17 days
Hurricane Hector dagger 2018
Category 4 hurricane
50.5 13 days
Hurricane Tina 1992
Category 4 hurricane
47.7 22 days
Hurricane Trudy 1990
Category 4 hurricane
45.8 16 days
Hurricane Lane 2018
Category 5 hurricane
44.2 13 days
Hurricane Dora dagger 1999
Category 4 hurricane
41.4 13 days
Hurricane Jimena 2015
Category 4 hurricane
40.0 15 days
Hurricane Guillermo 1997
Category 5 hurricane
40.0 16 days
Hurricane Norbert 1984
Category 4 hurricane
39.6 12 days
Hurricane Norman 2018
Category 4 hurricane
36.6 12 days
Hurricane Celeste 1972
Category 4 hurricane
36.3 16 days
Hurricane Sergio 2018
Category 4 hurricane
35.5 13 days
Hurricane Lester 2016
Category 4 hurricane
35.4 14 days
Hurricane Olaf 2015
Category 4 hurricane
34.6 12 days
Hurricane Jimena 1991
Category 4 hurricane
34.5 12 days
Hurricane Doreen 1973
Category 4 hurricane
34.3 16 days
Hurricane Ioke dagger 2006
Category 5 hurricane
34.2 7 days
Hurricane Marie 1990
Category 4 hurricane
33.1 14 days
Hurricane Orlene 1992
Category 4 hurricane
32.4 12 days
Hurricane Greg 1993
Category 4 hurricane
32.3 13 days
Hurricane Hilary 2011
Category 4 hurricane
31.2 9 days

dagger – This means the storm started in the Eastern/Central Pacific but crossed the 180°W line at least once. So, only the ACE and days spent in the Eastern/Central Pacific are counted.

Eastern Pacific Hurricane History and ACE

100
200
300
400
1971
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
Observed monthly values for the PDO index, 1900–present.
Historical East Pacific Seasonal Activity, 1981–2015.

We have reliable ACE data for the Eastern Pacific starting from the 1971 season.

Classification criteria      Above-normal      Near-normal      Below-normal

North Indian Ocean Storms

In the North Indian Ocean, several groups track and predict tropical cyclones. These include the United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center and the weather departments of Bangladesh, Pakistan, and India. Because they all track storms a little differently, the ACE values can vary.

However, the India Meteorological Department is the official group for this region, as chosen by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). They have calculated the ACE for all storm systems with winds above 17 knots (31 km/h; 20 mph). Their records go back to 1982.

Top 10 North Indian Ocean cyclone seasons
Season D DD CS SCS VSCS ESCS SUCS ACE
2019 12 11 8 6 6 3 1 77.95
1989 10 6 3 2 1 1 1 45.54
2023 3 2 2 2 2 2 0 40.4
2013 10 6 5 4 3 1 0 38.87
2018 14 9 7 5 3 1 0 35.61
2015 12 9 4 2 2 2 0 33.92
1999 10 8 5 3 3 2 1 33.60
2007 11 8 4 2 2 2 1 32.74
2020 9 8 5 4 3 1 1 30.90
1982 19 11 8 5 4 3 0 30.04
References:

See Also

Kids robot.svg In Spanish: Energía Ciclónica Acumulada para niños

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