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List of countries by past and projected GDP (nominal) facts for kids

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The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is like a country's economic report card. It measures the total value of all the goods and services a country makes in a certain period, usually a year. Think of it as adding up everything produced, from cars and computers to haircuts and concerts. When we talk about "nominal" GDP, it means we're looking at these values using current prices, without adjusting for inflation (which is when prices go up over time).

This list shows how different countries have ranked by their GDP in the past and how they are expected to rank in the future. The numbers are given in millions of United States dollars (USD). Most of this information comes from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which is an organization that helps countries with their economies.

For older trends in GDP, you can check out List of regions by past GDP (PPP).

Understanding a Country's Economy

What is GDP?

GDP stands for Gross Domestic Product. It's a way to measure how much a country produces. Imagine a country as a giant factory and a huge service provider. GDP counts everything that factory makes and every service it offers.

  • Goods are things you can touch, like phones, clothes, or food.
  • Services are things people do for others, like teaching, healthcare, or entertainment.

When a country's GDP grows, it usually means its economy is getting stronger. This can lead to more jobs, better living standards, and more opportunities for people.

Why is GDP Important?

Knowing a country's GDP helps us understand its economic size and strength. It's used by:

  • Governments to make decisions about taxes and spending.
  • Businesses to decide where to invest and grow.
  • Economists to study how well countries are doing and predict future trends.

It's important to remember that GDP is just one way to measure a country's success. It doesn't tell us everything about how happy or healthy people are, or how fair wealth is shared.

Looking Back: GDP in the Past (1970s-1990s)

In the 1970s, countries like the United States and Japan had some of the largest economies. The Soviet Union also had a very large economy during this time. The numbers show how much each country produced each year, measured in millions of US dollars.

For example, in 1970:

  • The United States produced about 1,024,800 million USD (over 1 trillion USD!).
  • Japan produced about 209,071 million USD.
  • The Soviet Union produced about 433,412 million USD.

Over the years, you can see how these numbers changed. Some countries grew very quickly, while others faced challenges. For instance, countries like China started with smaller economies but began to show significant growth in later decades.

By 1990, the economic landscape had shifted. The United States was still the largest economy, followed by Japan and Germany. Countries like China and India were starting to become major players, though their economies were not yet as large as the top few.

Major Economic Milestones: Reaching Trillions

It's a big deal for a country's economy to reach a trillion dollars in GDP! Here's a look at when some countries hit these huge milestones:

1 trillion USD 2 trillion USD 3 trillion USD 5 trillion USD 10 trillion USD 20 trillion USD 30 trillion USD
Year Country Year Country Year Country Year Country Year Country Year Country Year Country
1969  United States 1977  United States 1981  United States 1988  United States 2000  United States 2018  United States 2026  United States*
1979  Japan 1985  Soviet Union 1988  Japan 1995  Japan 2014  China 2026  China*
1979  Soviet Union 1986  Japan 2007  China 2009  China
1987  West Germany 1992  Germany 2007  Germany 2027  India*
1988  France 2003  United Kingdom 2007  United Kingdom 2027  Germany*
1989  United Kingdom 2004  France 2021  India
1990  Italy 2005  China 2023  France
1998  China 2007  Italy 2029  Brazil*
2004  Spain 2010  Brazil
2004  Canada 2011  Russia
2006  Brazil 2014  India
2006  Russia 2021  Canada
2006  South Korea 2024 Flag of Mexico.svg Mexico
2006 Flag of Mexico.svg Mexico 2027  Australia*
2007  India 2027  South Korea*
2008  Australia 2028  Indonesia*
2017  Indonesia
2021  Netherlands
2022  Saudi Arabia
2023  Turkey
2026  Switzerland*
2028  Poland*
2029  Taiwan*

* Future predictions are marked with an asterisk.

The United States was the first country to reach 1 trillion, 2 trillion, 3 trillion, 5 trillion, 10 trillion, and 20 trillion USD in GDP. It is also expected to be the first to reach 30 trillion USD. China is projected to reach 10 trillion and 20 trillion USD in the near future.

Looking Ahead: Future Economic Predictions

Experts often make predictions about how countries' economies will grow in the future. These predictions help us understand which countries might become economic powerhouses.

For example, Goldman Sachs, a big financial company, made some long-term predictions about the largest economies:

The 15 largest economies in the world
1980 2000 2022 2050 2075
 United States  United States  United States  China  China
 Japan  Japan  China  United States  India
 Germany  Germany  Japan  India  United States
 France  United Kingdom  Germany  Indonesia  Indonesia
 United Kingdom  France  India  Germany  Nigeria
 Italy  China  United Kingdom  Japan  Pakistan
 China  Italy  France  United Kingdom  Egypt
 Canada  Canada  Canada  Brazil  Brazil
 Argentina Flag of Mexico.svg Mexico  Russia  France  Germany
 Spain  Brazil  Italy  Russia  United Kingdom
Flag of Mexico.svg Mexico  Spain  Brazil Flag of Mexico.svg Mexico Flag of Mexico.svg Mexico
 Netherlands  South Korea  South Korea  Egypt  Japan
 India  India  Australia  Saudi Arabia  Russia
 Saudi Arabia  Netherlands Flag of Mexico.svg Mexico  Canada  Philippines
 Australia  Australia  Spain  Nigeria  France

This table shows that by 2050 and 2075, countries like China and India are expected to have some of the largest economies in the world, possibly even larger than the United States. Other countries like Indonesia, Nigeria, and Pakistan are also predicted to rise significantly in the rankings.

Another group, the Center for Business and Economic Research, also made predictions for the largest economies up to 2038:


The 30 largest economies in the world (current prices in billions of USD)
Country 2023 Country 2028 Country 2033 Country 2038
 United States 27,006  United States 32,211  United States 39,506  China 48,811
 China 17,700  China 27,425  China 36,942  United States 47,827
 Germany 4,413  Japan 6,899  India 8,696  India 12,881
 Japan 4,163  India 5,832  Japan 7,857  Japan 8,894
 India 3,648  Germany 5,324  Germany 6,314  Germany 7,434
 United Kingdom 3,332  United Kingdom 4,008  United Kingdom 4,801  United Kingdom 5,771
 France 3,024  France 3,498  France 4,103  France 4,813
 Italy 2,175  Brazil 2,832  Brazil 3,436  Brazil 4,131
 Brazil 2,121  South Korea 2,538  South Korea 3,072  South Korea 3,682
 Canada 2,100  Canada 2,535  Canada 3,054  Canada 3,679
 Russia 1,856  Italy 2,500  Italy 2,856  Indonesia 3,669
Flag of Mexico.svg Mexico 1,807  Russia 2,343  Indonesia 2,717  Italy 3,236
 South Korea 1,704  Australia 2,115  Russia 2,713  Australia 3,153
 Australia 1,676  Indonesia 2,006  Australia 2,585  Russia 3,142
 Spain 1,569 Flag of Mexico.svg Mexico 1,918 Flag of Mexico.svg Mexico 2,310 Flag of Mexico.svg Mexico 2,783
 Indonesia 1,397  Spain 1,860  Spain 2,177  Spain 2,549
 Netherlands 1,087  Saudi Arabia 1,388  Saudi Arabia 1,759  Turkey 2,219
 Saudi Arabia 1,068  Turkey 1,387  Turkey 1,755  Saudi Arabia 2,215
 Turkey 1,030  Netherlands 1,305  Netherlands 1,565  Netherlands 1,876
 Switzerland 897  Switzerland 1,064  Switzerland 1,275  Bangladesh 1,720
 Poland 831  Taiwan 1,010  Poland 1,243  Vietnam 1,559
 Taiwan 748  Poland 980  Taiwan 1,230  Poland 1,554
 Argentina 642  Thailand 812  Bangladesh 1,172  Philippines 1,536
 Belgium 624  Sweden 794  Vietnam 1,050  Switzerland 1,529
 Sweden 594  Bangladesh 783  Philippines 1,047  Taiwan 1,497
 Ireland 587  Ireland 742  Thailand 1,033  United Arab Emirates 1,351
 Norway 538  United Arab Emirates 725  United Arab Emirates 990  Thailand 1,313
 Austria 523  Belgium 725  Sweden 956  Israel 1,229
 Israel 515  Nigeria 720  Israel 936  Egypt 1,198
 United Arab Emirates 508  Israel 713  Ireland 933  Ireland 1,173

These predictions show that while the United States and China are expected to remain at the top, countries like India, Indonesia, and Turkey are projected to climb significantly in the global economic rankings over the next decade and beyond.

See also

Kids robot.svg In Spanish: Anexo:Países por PIB (nominal) histórico para niños

  • List of IMF ranked countries by GDP, IMF ranked GDP (nominal), GDP (nominal) per capita, GDP (PPP), GDP (PPP) per capita, Population, and PPP
  • List of countries by GDP (nominal)
  • List of countries by past and projected GDP (PPP)
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